Energy Concerns Resurface Globally and Locally Amid Gulf‑Middle East Conflict
The issue of energy has returned to the forefront of international and local concerns following the outbreak of armed conflict in the Gulf and Middle‑East region. The war threatens hydrocarbon supplies both in terms of volume and price, with oil prices already beginning to climb dramatically.
Tunisia Faces a Sharp Rise in Oil Prices
La Presse – Tunisia is not immune. Under the 2026 Finance Law, the average annual oil price is set at around US $70 per barrel. A $1 increase per barrel would generate an additional cost of roughly US $164 million in compensation payments. In other words, public spending will inevitably feel the pressure, and consumer prices will be affected.
Urgent Activation of the National Energy Strategy
The government must swiftly implement the national strategy that focuses on innovative solutions—a point repeatedly emphasized by the President since taking office. From day one, the President has championed a “self‑reliance” principle while moving beyond outdated approaches.
In line with this vision, the Head of State has repeatedly called for a energy transition:
- 35 % renewable energy (solar & wind) in the electricity mix by 2030
- 50 % renewable energy by 2035
- 30 % reduction in primary energy consumption
Diversifying Tunisia’s Energy Portfolio
Tunisia’s only viable path forward is to diversify its energy resources. This is why the Tunisian Solar Plan (PST) is the cornerstone of the transition, with TND 1.64 billion already earmarked for photovoltaic projects aimed at reducing gas imports.
A second national strategy, currently underway, seeks to position Tunisia as a hydrogen hub by 2030.
Funding and Institutional Support
Experts say the action plan must be backed by complementary measures, mobilising US $3.67 billion in investments:
- US $0.97 billion for renewable energy
- US $2.7 billion for energy efficiency
Successful implementation and local stakeholder mobilisation depend on solid institutional anchoring at the regional level. Specialists recommend creating a representative entity within regional councils to oversee the rollout.
President Kaïs Saïed’s Accelerated Energy‑Transition Agenda
Under President Kaïs Saïed, Tunisia is fast‑tracking the transition by focusing on:
- Green hydrogen
- Solar power
- Waste‑to‑energy
Key initiatives include:
- The Elmed interconnection project with Italy
- Equipping public institutions with photovoltaic panels
- Signing agreements to export clean energy to Europe
The Role of Scientific Research
A robust scientific research base is essential for a smooth energy transition. It enables Tunisia to stay aligned with global innovations, forge strategic partnerships, and narrow the technology gap. A resilient energy system requires continuous research to develop new solutions or adapt existing ones to local conditions.
Just two months ago, the President urged the development of energy production from waste, a technology already proven effective in several countries.
A National Commitment to Energy Independence
Awareness of the energy challenge now reaches the highest levels of the Tunisian state. The imperative is clear: find sustainable energy solutions that guarantee a minimum degree of independence in this critical sector, thereby safeguarding the country’s socio‑economic stability.
